Why Another Pandemic Is Inevitable: How Trump’s Actions Could Increase the Risks

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Why Another Pandemic Is Inevitable: How Trump’s Actions Could Increase the Risks

The COVID-19 pandemic revealed important truths about America’s health readiness. Over 1.2 million lives were lost in the U.S. alone, highlighting major gaps in our health defenses. Now, we face the unsettling reality that another pandemic is likely on the horizon, and it could be just as severe—or worse.

Recent research suggests there’s roughly a 50% chance of a new pandemic with over 25 million deaths within the next 20 to 25 years. This is alarming, especially since funding for global health initiatives in the U.S. is projected to drop by 67% this year, equating to over $9 billion in cuts. As the largest contributor to global health, the U.S. has historically played a key role in combating diseases worldwide.

Our efforts have helped build health systems in lower-income countries, allowing them to monitor and respond to new diseases effectively. Yet, with cuts to organizations like USAID and the CDC, critical expertise is being lost. The National Institutes of Health has also faced funding cuts, risking essential research that could lead to new treatments.

Support for global health programs is broadly popular among the American public, regardless of political views. Most believe that investing in health abroad helps protect our own country by controlling threats before they reach our shores. For example, the CDC’s Global Health Center operates in over 60 countries, tackling diseases like measles and HIV and creating stronger health infrastructures.

Despite this proven necessity, the White House has suggested eliminating the Global Health Center in its budget proposal for Fiscal Year 2026. This follows a decision to stop funding the World Health Organization, which also coordinates international health efforts.

Interestingly, in response to proposed budget cuts, Congress has shown resistance. The Senate has already pushed back against recommended reductions, reflecting a commitment to maintaining support for these vital health programs. However, the political landscape is shifting, and final budget decisions can still change. This introduces uncertainty about our preparedness for future health crises.

Vaccines remain the backbone of global health systems. The U.S. has long contributed to immunization programs that have saved millions of lives and reduced child mortality rates drastically. Although the U.S. has pledged $1.5 billion over five years to Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, this commitment was recently called into question. If funding is not sustained, up to 75 million children might miss vaccinations, leading to 1.2 million preventable deaths.

While some encouraging news is emerging—like Congress’s reluctance to cut global health funding—we must remain vigilant. Without proper investment, America and the world risk weaker health systems, leaving us vulnerable to the next pandemic, which could be far worse than what we’ve already faced.

We must keep a close watch on funding policies and advocate for comprehensive support for global health initiatives, ensuring that we’re prepared for whatever comes next.



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